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<Research>BOCI: XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) 1Q Results Likely to Beat Pessimistic Forecasts
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BOCI published a research report forecasting that XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)'s 1Q26 total revenue will be RMB100 billion, down about 14% QoQ, mainly dented by an over 40% decline in vehicle deliveries.

In terms of gross margin, the broker expected core businesses to outperform the market's pessimistic expectations. Smartphone gross margin is projected to rebound to above 9.5%, while the IoT segment is expected to return to a high level of 25%.

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While acknowledging that a near-term inflection point in fundamentals has yet to emerge, BOCI remained positive on the Company's underlying resilience to emerge from the cyclical trough, and believed that XIAOMI-W's unique 'Human x Car x Home' ecosystem and self-developed full-stack AI capabilities could position it as a leader in the rise of the physical AI era.

Therefore, the broker kept rating at Buy, with a target price of $41.6.

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