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<Research>CICC Recommends CHINAHONGQIAO, CHALCO as Aluminum Prices May Grow Even Faster
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Positive
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Negative
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Middle Eastern aluminum companies Qatalum and Alba declared force majeure on March 3-4, according to a CICC report. The annual production capacities of Qatalum and Alba reach 636,000 and 1.62 million tons, accounting for 0.8% and 2.0% of the global market, respectively.

Spiked by this news, LME aluminum prices swelled by 2.5% on March 3 and 5% during the night session on March 4, hitting USD3,418 per ton, the highest since 2022.

Related NewsCiti Raises LME Aluminum TP to USD3.6K/ Ton; Bullish Scenario Estimate at USD4K/ Ton
In CICC's estimate, aluminum prices could reach new highs given the widening aluminum supply-demand gap, the increasing vulnerability caused by the US-Iran conflict, and the global resonance of active fiscal and monetary policies.

CICC recommended investors pay attention to NANSHAN AL INTL (02610.HK), CHINAHONGQIAO (01378.HK), CHALCO (02600.HK), TIANSHAN ALUMINUM (002532.SZ), NANSHAN ALUMINIUM (600219.SS), and HUATONG WIRES AND CABLES (605196.SH).
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