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<Research>Nomura Slashes XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) TP to $33, Forecasts 2026 Smartphone Shipments to Drop ~20%
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Nomura kept rating at Neutral on XIAOMI-W (01810.HK), and slashed its target price from $61 to $33. The broker believed that XIAOMI-W's smartphone shipments will face downside risks amid rising bill of materials (BOM) costs.

Nomura previously forecasted a low single-digit YoY decline in 2026 shipments. However, following several months of deteriorating market conditions, shipments could drop by approx. 20% YoY if overall cost pressures do not relieve throughout the year.

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The sales base for IoT business has been at high levels from 2H24 to 1H25. Coupled with high market expectations for the EV business, the broker was concerned about XIAOMI-W's smartphone and EV operations this year, as demand and profitability may be weaker than anticipated.
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